Statistics
The Myth of Form in Football

The Myth of Form in Football

Have you ever won five games in a row and felt like you could win ten more? Or maybe you lost 5 five and you just kept losing after that? Most people that have played sports will recognize this. Being “in form” seems to have a large impact on whether we will win the...

Bayesian Statistical Inference

Bayesian Statistical Inference

Statistical inference is the use of data analysis to say something about the probability distribution of the underlying data. A very common tool to say something about the likely distribution of data is the method of maximum likelihood. Here we make an assumption of...

Are we alone in the Universe?

Are we alone in the Universe?

Since the beginning of civilization, humans have looked up into the sky and wondered whether we are alone in the Universe. Since then our technology has come quite a way and it feels like we can make a better-educated guess to this question. We currently estimate that...

The Infinite Monkey Paradox

The Infinite Monkey Paradox

To most people the notion of infinity is unfathomable. That has to do with the strange behavior some things demonstrate when the concept of infinity is introduced. Think for example of an infinite time horizon. No one knows what it feels like for an infinite amount of...

Simpson’s Paradox

Simpson’s Paradox

In 1951 Edward Simpson published a paper discussing the interpretation of contingency tables. He discusses a phenomenon that is still occurring in today’s statistics. It is called after his own name, Simpson’s Paradox.  An Example Simpson’s Paradox can be...

Will the Netherlands win the UEFA EURO 2020?

Will the Netherlands win the UEFA EURO 2020?

We had to wait seven years for it but after two missed tournaments the Dutch national team are participating in the UEFA European Football Championship this summer. Therefore, we will see the so-called “Oranjegekte” again [1]. Obviously, the Netherlands only...

Home advantage in football: does it exist?

Home advantage in football: does it exist?

[latexpage] Football is the most popular sport of the world. It is to some extent even part of our culture. Especially during the world championships, the whole country is in the grip of this sport. Everyone basically wants the same thing: their team to win. A very...

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